Pietro Terna (University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto) (webinar)
10 December 2020 @ 14:00 - 15:30
“How Can ABM Models Become Part of The Policy-Making Process in Times of Emergencies – The S.I.S.A.R. Epidemic Model”
Abstract: We propose an agent-based model to simulate the Covid-19 epidemic diffusion, with Susceptible, Infected, symptomatic, asymptomatic, and Recovered people: hence the name S.I.s.a.R. The scheme comes from S.I.R. models, with (i) infected agents categorized as symptomatic and asymptomatic and (ii) the places of contagion specified in a detailed way, thanks to agent-based modeling capabilities. The infection transmission is related to three factors: the infected person’s characteristics and the susceptible one, plus those of the space in which contact occurs. The asset of the model is the development of a tool that allows analyzing the contagions’ sequences in simulated epidemics and identifying the places where they occur.
Link to the paper: https://rofasss.org/