Tatyana Marchuk (Goethe University)
3 February 2017 @ 12:00
“The Financial Intermediation Premium in the Cross Section of Stock Returns”
This paper documents a significant risk premium for financial intermediation risk in the cross section of equity returns. Firms that borrow from highly levered financial intermediaries have on average 4% higher expected returns relative to firms with low-leverage lenders. This difference cannot be attributed to differences in firm characteristics and is driven by firms’ exposure to the financial sector. The dispersion in the leverage of financial intermediaries in the debt market forecasts the growth of macroeconomic aggregates. To shed light on the underlying mechanism behind the intermediation risk, I provide a tractable model with state-dependent borrowing costs.