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Job Market Seminar Mario Quaranta (European University Institute, Florence)

"Citizens’ political behaviour and attitudes in changing contexts" Aula lignea Abstract Research has often underlined the importance of studying political behaviour and attitudes to capture the extent to which democracies are responsive to citizens’ preferences and needs, and thus the legitimacy of democratic regimes. Within this field, scholars have pointed at the role of contexts…

Job Market Seminar Steven Van Hauwaert (University of Mainz)

"Public opinion and the macro-polity: Italy in a comparative perspective" Aula lignea Abstract The politics and economics of public opinion are a major and expanding field of research and teaching in the social sciences. Yet, while public opinion and collective political behaviour have become an established research area in the USA, systematic work on other…

Job Market Seminar Davide Morisi (University of Vienna)

"Choosing the risky option: information and risk propensity in referendum campaigns" Aula lignea Abstract Direct democracy has enjoyed increased popularity worldwide. Despite the complexity of most of the issues subject to a direct-democratic vote, in referendum campaigns voters generally face a simple choice between an uncertain Yes for a change and a safer No for…

Job Market Seminar Sarah Carol (University of Cologne)

"Ethnic and Religious Discrimination in the Wedding Venue Business: Evidence from Two Field Experiments in Germany and Austria"  Aula lignea Abstract Various studies have investigated the discrimination of ethnic minorities on the labour and rental market, in the education system as well as in public administrations. While many of these studies found support for discrimination,…

Job Market Seminar Aron Szekely (Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm)

"Cooperation and conflict in social systems" Aula lignea Abstract Cooperation and conflict are classical topics in the social sciences. Key questions include how cooperation arises and how conflict is avoided. Drawing on theoretical and methodological developments, I will present research that explores three mechanisms underlying cooperation and conflict. Using experiments and agent-based simulations, I test the role of group reputation and credible signalling in…

Job Market Seminar Julien Penasse (University of Luxembourg)

"The Missing Risk Premium in Exchange Rates" Job Market Seminar Abstract It is well known that the interest rate differential (the forward premium) predicts currency returns. However, we find that the real exchange rate, not the interest rate differential, is the main predictor of currency returns at longer horizons. We relate this finding to other…

Job Market Seminar Jules Tinang (Toulouse School of Economics)

"Macro Uncertainty and the Term Structure of Risk Premium" abstract Abstract:Leading frictionless consumption-based asset pricing models (Long run risks and Habit formation) predict that the expected return on assets whose cash flows appear in the distant future are higher than or equal to the expected returns on assets which pay-off in the near future. Contrary…

Job Market Seminar Diego Battiston (LSE)

"The Persistent Effects of Brief Interactions: Evidence from Immigrant Ships" Job Market Seminar Abstract This paper shows that brief social interactions can have a large impact on economic outcomes when they occur in high-stakes decision contexts. I study this question using a high frequency and detailed geolocalized dataset of matched immigrants-ships from the age of…

Job Market Seminar Elisabeth Proehl (Université de Geneve)

"Approximating Equilibria with Ex-Post Heterogeneity and Aggregate Risk" Job Market paper abstract Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with ex-post heterogeneity due to idiosyncratic risk have to be solved numerically. This is a nontrivial task as the cross-sectional distribution of endogenous variables becomes an element of the state space due to aggregate risk. Existing global solution…

Job Market Seminar Arjada Bardhi (Northwestern University)

"Optimal Discovery and Influence through Selective Sampling" abstract Most decisions – from a job seeker appraising a job offer to a policymaker assessinga novel social program – involve the consideration of numerous attributes of an objectof interest. This paper studies the optimal evaluation of a complex project of uncertainquality by sampling a limited number of…

Job Market Seminar Arnaud Philippe (Toulouse School of Economics)

"Incarcerate one to calm the others?Spillover effects of incarceration among criminal groups" Job Market paper abstract Abstract: What is the effect of incarcerating one member of a group on her criminalpartners? I answer this question using administrative data on all convictions in France between2003 and 2012. I exploit past joint convictions to identify 34,000 groups.…

Job Market Seminar Giovanni Nicolò (UCLA)

"Monetary Policy, Expectations and Business Cycles in the U.S. Post-War Period" Job Market Paper Abstract This paper examines the interactions between monetary policy and the formation of expectations to explain U.S. business cycle fluctuations in the post-war period. I estimate a conventional medium-scale New-Keynesian model, in which I relax the assumption that the central pursued…